Plausible Scenarios

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1. Plausible Scenario is a realistic event that could disrupt the delivery of important or critical business services, leading to unacceptable impacts.


Plausible Scenario:

Note (1): is used within operational resilience to stress test the impact tolerances that have been developed for important business services and to identify weaknesses, vulnerabilities, and associated mitigating actions.

Note (2): includes risk resulting from disruption to cyber, technology, people, third party dependency, pandemics and disasters.

Note (3): requires the board of directors to consider a broad range of severe but plausible scenarios, including:

  • lockdown due to pandemic
  • cyber security incidents including credential and identity theft; data theft and manipulation; disruptive and destructive malware; emerging technologies: blockchain, cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence; and disinformation
  • catastrophic natural disasters.


Related Terms: Plausible Scenarios, Severe but Plausible Scenarios, Impact Tolerance


BCMBoK Competency Level
BCMBoK 0: BCM Fundamentals CL 1B: Foundation (BC)


BCMBoK Competency Level
BCMBoK 0: BCM Fundamentals CL 1C: Foundation (CM)


BCMBoK Competency Level
BCMBoK 0: BCM Fundamentals CL 1CC: Foundation (CC)


BCMBoK Competency Level
BCMBoK 0: BCM Fundamentals CL 1D: Foundation (DR)


BCMBoK Competency Level
BCMBoK 0: OR Fundamentals CL 1OR: Foundation (OR)